Two Errors in the ' Allais Impossibility Theorem

نویسنده

  • MARK J. MACHINA
چکیده

In his so-called 'Allais Impossibility Theorem', Allais (1988) asserts that the technique of 'generalized expected utility analysis' from Machina (1982) is invalid, on the grounds that its key tool, the 'local utility function', cannot be well-defined for preferences over finite-outcome lotteries. This paper presents a brief description of the local utility function and a summary of Allais' argument, and points out two separate errors in the latter. The first error consists of believing that two local utility functions should be affinely equivalent even when their outcome variables differ by a nonlinear transformation. The second error consists of an incorrect derivation of the local utility function, resulting from extending a moment representation function beyond its valid domain, and/or invoking the chain rule at a point where this function is not differentiable.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Allais Paradoxes Can be Reversed by Presenting Choices in Canonical Split Form

This paper tests Birnbaum’s (2004) theory that the constant consequence paradoxes of Allais are due to violations of coalescing, the assumption that when two branches lead to the same consequence, they can be combined by adding their probabilities. Rank dependent utility and cumulative prospect theory imply that the Allais paradoxes are due to violations of restricted branch independence, a wea...

متن کامل

Arrow theorems in the fuzzy setting

Throughout this paper, our  main idea is to analyze the Arrovian approach in a fuzzy context, paying attention to different extensions of the classical Arrow's model arising in mathematical Social Choice to aggregate preferences that the agents define on a set of alternatives. There is a wide set of extensions. Some of them give rise to an impossibility theorem as in the Arrovian classical  mod...

متن کامل

بررسی ارتباط قاطعیت پرستاران با گزارش دادن خطاهای کاری آنان

Background: Assertiveness skill helps to nurses for better their practice. Job errors are inevitable in nursing profession. The purpose of this study was to determine the relationship between assertiveness and reporting of job errors among nurses. Methods: This descriptive and cross sectional study was performed on 153 nurses from Fatemeh Zahra hospital of Najafabad through census sampling. Th...

متن کامل

1 Aggregating Sets of Judgments : Two Impossibility Results Compared 1 forthcoming in

The “doctrinal paradox” or “discursive dilemma” shows that propositionwise majority voting over the judgments held by multiple individuals on some interconnected propositions can lead to inconsistent collective judgments on these propositions. List and Pettit (2002) have proved that this paradox illustrates a more general impossibility theorem showing that there exists no aggregation procedure ...

متن کامل

Aggregating Sets of Judgments: Two Impossibility Results Compared1

The “doctrinal paradox” or “discursive dilemma” shows that propositionwise majority voting over the judgments held by multiple individuals on some interconnected propositions can lead to inconsistent collective judgments on these propositions. List and Pettit (2002) have proved that this paradox illustrates a more general impossibility theorem showing that there exists no aggregation procedure ...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2004